Concept

Metre — where it appears

The recurring pattern of strong and weak beats a listener infers from a stream of onsets and then hears the stream through. It is not in the signal, and it decides which notes count as structural, which makes harmonic analysis depend on it.

Named by 34 essays across 4 fields — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.

E(3, 8) as a cycle. A rhythm drawn round a circle, one equal arc per step, with the struck steps filled. On a circle the pattern has no beginning, which is why the same necklace of onsets is several different named rhythms depending on where a listener decides bar one is.

Rhythm is a circle, and the bar line is a choice

Draw a rhythm as a line and it looks like a sequence of decisions. Draw it as a cycle and the same pattern turns out to be shared across continents, differing only in where somebody decided to start counting.

rhythm · Cyclic rhythm
One pattern, four metres. The same 12-step onset pattern read under 4 candidate metres, each scored by a preference rule set: 3 for a strong position that carries an onset, -2 for one that does not, -1 for an onset that lands off every strong position. The scores are 4/4 -4, 3/4 12, 6/8 12, 12/8 as 3+3+3+3 12, so 3/4 and 6/8 and 12/8 as 3+3+3+3 tie and the model does not choose. Nothing about the sound differs between these readings; the bar line is supplied by the listener.

The beat is inferred, and sometimes wrongly

A bar line is not in the sound. One sequence of onsets supports a reading in four, in three and in six, and which one a listener settles on comes from a small set of preference rules rather than from anything in the signal — which is why the same recording can be heard two ways and why nobody can be talked out of either.

rhythm · Metre induction
The same induction, one level up. Bar-level onsets from thirty-two-bar AABA — a bar is marked where a section or a key begins — scored against hypermetres of 2, 3, 4, 6, 8 bars with the identical function the beat-level figures use. The best-fitting period is 8 bars, which at 108 beats a minute lasts 17.8 seconds.

The bar above the bar

A four-bar group is a bar whose beats are bars. That is not an analogy — it is the same computation, and the same metre-induction model produces one when it is handed bars instead of beats, unchanged. What decides where the hierarchy of levels stops is not in the arithmetic at all, and it is a number the phrase essay already measured.

form · Metre induction
One pattern, four metres. The same 6-step onset pattern read under 3 candidate metres, each scored by a preference rule set: 3 for a strong position that carries an onset, -2 for one that does not, -1 for an onset that lands off every strong position. The scores are the 3 is the beat 8, the 2 is the beat 4, every step is a beat 8, so the 3 is the beat and every step is a beat tie and the model does not choose. Nothing about the sound differs between these readings; the bar line is supplied by the listener.

Which of the two is the beat

A polyrhythm is notated as a bar of two with three laid across it. Run the metre rules used here over the composite and they choose the three — at every ratio tried, without exception. Add the one other rule the rules have, and the answer changes hands at a bar of 1,013 milliseconds, which is 118 to the minute.

rhythm · Polyrhythm
One pattern, four metres. The same 8-step onset pattern read under 4 candidate metres, each scored by a preference rule set: 3 for a strong position that carries an onset, -2 for one that does not, -1 for an onset that lands off every strong position. The scores are downbeat on step 1 -1, downbeat on step 2 -7, downbeat on step 3 -1, downbeat on step 4 -1, so downbeat on step 1 and downbeat on step 3 and downbeat on step 4 tie and the model does not choose. Nothing about the sound differs between these readings; the bar line is supplied by the listener.

The right period at the wrong phase

Finding the beat is two problems, not one. How far apart the beats are, and where the first one is. This site's rule set answers the first confidently on a tresillo and returns a three-way tie on the second — the same score for the downbeat on step one, step four and step seven — which is not a near miss but no answer at all.

rhythm · Metre induction
Syncopation against a bar of 8. An 8-step pattern with 3 onsets, against the metrical weights of its bar. A position's weight is zero on the downbeat and one lower at each level down the subdivision tree, drawn here as the depth of the bar hanging beneath it. A note on a weak position followed by a rest on a stronger one costs the difference. the tresillo, in a bar of eight scores 2 — the note at step 4 against the rest at step 5, costing 2.

Syncopation is a number about the metre

Longuet-Higgins and Lee price a syncopation at the metrical weight a note skips over. That makes it computable, and it makes it a property of a pair rather than of a rhythm — the son clave scores 4 read from step one, 2 from step three and 8 from step four, and not one onset has moved. Worse, the induction rules pick very nearly the reading that scores lowest.

rhythm · Metre induction
One pattern, four metres. The same 16-step onset pattern read under 4 candidate metres, each scored by a preference rule set: 3 for a strong position that carries an onset, -2 for one that does not, -1 for an onset that lands off every strong position. The scores are downbeat on step 1 0, downbeat on step 2 -12, downbeat on step 3 -12, downbeat on step 4 0, so downbeat on step 1 and downbeat on step 4 tie and the model does not choose. Nothing about the sound differs between these readings; the bar line is supplied by the listener.

The beat that is never sounded

A listener who has heard four bars of a groove and then hears two bars with the downbeats taken out does not move the downbeat. This site's rule set does, every time, on every pattern tried — and the direction it moves in says exactly what kind of model would be needed instead.

perception · Metre induction
Two metres as trees. Two metres — 9/8 as 3 × 3, 3 + 3 + 3; 9/8 as 2+2+2+3, 2 + 2 + 2 + 3 — each drawn as the bar dividing into beats and the beats dividing again. Simple and compound metres have the same number of beats and differ in the second division; an additive metre has beats of unequal length, which no single division produces.

No term for an unequal beat

A Balkan bar of nine is four beats, three short and one long. The induction rules lay their strong positions at a fixed period, so the only readings of nine it can offer are nine, three and one — and for a bar of seven, where seven is prime, the only readings are seven and one. The right answer is not among the candidates.

rhythm · Metre induction
A tracker following a tempo that will not stay still. The tracker's error as a fraction of a beat, against beat number, for 3 rates of tempo change with a period-correction gain of 0.2. It settles at 0.025 of a beat behind at 0.5 per cent a beat, 0.092 of a beat behind at 2.0 per cent a beat, 0.206 of a beat behind at 5.0 per cent a beat. It does not lose the beat; it lags, by very nearly the rate divided by the period-correction gain, and the lag reaches a quarter of a beat at 6.3 per cent a beat — at which point the tracker is nearer the wrong onset than the right one.

A metre has to be able to change its mind

Replace the scoring function with a phase-corrected oscillator and the two failures reported earlier separate. The beat now survives two silent bars, drifting 23 milliseconds of a 560-millisecond beat. But it does not lose a moving tempo so much as lag behind it, by the rate over the correction gain — and a cadential ritardando that halves the tempo in eight beats is faster than the model can follow.

form · Metre induction
The gap that decides whether two clocks are two. The closest approach of the two streams in each ratio, at 100 to the minute in 4-time — a bar of 2.4 seconds. It is the bar divided by the product of the two numbers, which is an identity and is checked here against the measured minimum. 9:5 is the last ratio whose onsets are securely separate at this tempo; past it the two streams' events fall inside the window in which the ear cannot put two onsets in order, and what is heard is one irregular pattern rather than two clocks. The bound has a product in it, which is why 3:2 and 4:3 are everywhere and 11:7 is a notation.

The ratio that stops being two

Eight earlier essays have taken two clocks at a rational ratio to be a thing a listener can hold. There is a ratio past which it is not, and the bound is not where anyone would look for it: the cycle is exactly one bar long at every ratio, so the length of the pattern separates nothing. What separates them is the closest the two streams ever come, which is one part in their least common multiple — 400 milliseconds for three against two, and seventeen for thirteen against eleven, which is not two events at all.

rhythm · Polyrhythm
The same eight notes, read three ways. The scale, eight quavers, scored against every triad and seventh at every root. Barred as written the best reading is C major7 at 0.850; with the barline one quaver later it is D minor7 at 0.850. With no metre — every note weighted the same — 4 readings tie at 0.625 and the passage has no best analysis at all. The notes are identical in all three. What changed is where the bar starts, which is not a fact about harmony.

Which notes are the chord

A progression is a list of chords, and before there is a list something has to decide which of the notes sounding are chord tones and which are passing. Take the eight notes of a scale as eight quavers and score every triad and seventh at every root: barred as written the best reading is C major seventh, with the barline moved by one quaver it is D minor seventh, and with no metre at all three readings tie exactly and the passage has no best analysis. Same eight notes in all three. Harmonic analysis is a function of a variable that is not harmony.

harmony · Progression
One pattern, four metres. The same 12-step onset pattern read under 3 candidate metres, each scored by a preference rule set: 3 for a strong position that carries an onset, -2 for one that does not, -1 for an onset that lands off every strong position. The scores are 3/4 -4, 6/8 12, 2/4 -4, so 6/8 wins. The page prints 3/4, which the model does not prefer — it ranks 6/8 above it. Nothing about the sound differs between these readings; the bar line is supplied by the listener.

The time signature is a claim

A bar line is not a measurement. It is a claim about where the accents are, made before the sound exists, and there is a metre-induction model here that can be handed the same onsets and asked whether it agrees. On a hemiola it does not: the page says three and the model says six, by a margin of twelve against minus four. And on a bar of seven the signature is not even a candidate — what decides the reading is the beaming, which the signature does not contain.

rhythm · Notation
note length against the onsets. Every candidate metre's fit to a 16-step pattern with 4 onsets, plotted against how strongly note length is weighted. At a gain of zero the scoring is the onset-only one every earlier model used, and the winner is step 1 and step 4. At a gain of 0.05 the answer becomes step 4. 2 candidates are exactly flat — step 2 and step 3 have no onset on any strong position, so there is no credit for the cue to multiply and no weighting of it can move the line.

What the onsets left out

Eight essays induce a metre from a list of ones and zeros, and every failure they recorded was argued about as a failure of the rules. Two of the three are not. Note length is already in that list and the scoring throws it away: put it back and the son clave's two-way tie resolves to the notated downbeat. But the groove with its beat removed cannot be repaired by any cue at any strength, and the reason is arithmetic rather than empirical — the true phase has no onset on any of its strong positions, so there is no credit for a cue to multiply and its line is exactly flat.

form · Metre induction
How unequal a beat is allowed to be. Five bars — 2+3, 2+2+3, 2+2+2+3, 2+5, 3+4 — with the range of subdivision durations at which every one of the bar's beats stays inside the window where a series of events can be a beat — a tenth of a second to two seconds. The metres made of twos and threes have the widest bands, and they have them for a reason that is not about the window: a group of four subdivisions decomposes into two twos and a group of five into a two and a three, so neither is a beat at all. The only indivisible lengths are two and three, which fixes the ratio between an aksak metre's long and short beats at 3:2 by arithmetic.

How unequal a beat is allowed to be

A Balkan bar of nine is four beats, three short and one long, and the long one is always three subdivisions against two. Never four against two, never five against three. The usual explanation is that this is what the tradition does; there is a better one and it needs no perceptual measurement at all. A group of four subdivisions decomposes into two twos and a group of five into a two and a three, so neither is a beat — it is two. The only indivisible lengths are two and three, which fixes the ratio at three to two before anybody listens, and leaves the tempo window to decide only how fast the bar can go.

rhythm · Additive metre
What the joint search changes, and what it never changes. Over 552 constructed passages of eight slots with rests, how often the joint reading differs from the pipeline's. The chord differs in 29 per cent and the barline in 31, with both differing in 20. The key differs in 0 per cent — never — because the key is read from a pitch-class histogram, which does not know where the bar starts or which notes are chord tones. Two of the three decisions are entangled and the third is not.

Three decisions that constrain each other

Every model here decides one thing at a time — the key from the pitch classes, the metre from the onsets, the chords from the metre — and an earlier essay ended by saying a listener does all three at once. Resolving them jointly costs a hundred and fifty-seven times the search and changes the reading of two passages in five. It never once changes the key, and the reason it cannot is the reason the whole account is built the way it is.

harmony · Progression
A cycle whose position is in the instrumentation. 3 isochronous layers over a cycle of 16 steps, at periods 16, 8, 4. Every layer on its own is perfectly symmetric and tells a listener nothing about where they are; the combination gives 4 distinct signatures over 16 steps, and hearing one of them leaves 2.81 bits unknown. The information is in which instruments sound rather than in where the onsets fall, which is a different answer from the one a single timeline gives — and it needs no asymmetry anywhere. The cost is 7 strokes a cycle, 0.44 to the step, spread over 3 players.

A cycle that says where it is

Euclidean timelines were asked how quickly they tell a listener where in the cycle they are, and answered it with rotational asymmetry: a symmetric pattern never locates at all. A colotomic cycle answers the same question with nothing asymmetric in it. Several isochronous layers at nested periods — a gong every sixteen, a kempul every eight, a kenong every four — put the position in which instruments sound, and the position is legible from a single stroke.

rhythm · Cyclic rhythm
Expectation as a curve, and what a change costs where it lands. Every quantity so far is attached to a chord change: a list of surprises, one per event. A listener's expectation is continuous — it sharpens through a bar and collapses when the change arrives — and the two ingredients for it are already here, the harmonic rhythm and the metrical beat weights. The curve is the hazard: given that the chord has not changed yet, the chance that it changes on this beat. It runs from 0.043 on the weakest beat to 0.290 on the downbeat, a ratio of 6.7, against 0.125 if every beat were alike. The marked beats are where the changes actually arrive, and their timing bill is 3.6 bits against 6.0 for a listener with no metre — so these changes are 1.7 times cheaper to expect than a metreless listener would find them. That term is new: an earlier essay prices which chord arrived and this prices when, and a listener meets the sum.

Expectation is a curve, not a list

Every quantity so far is attached to a chord change: a list of surprises, one per event. A listener's expectation is continuous, sharpening through a bar and collapsing when the change arrives — and the two ingredients for it were already here, in two other accounts. What comes out is a second surprise, for when a chord arrives rather than for which one it is.

harmony · Tonal-expectation
The number nobody has moves the size and not the order. The mean total surprise per chord change, against how much the two surprises share. At zero they are independent and the total is their sum; at one they are the same event and the total is the larger of the two. The mean falls by a factor of 1.53 across that whole range, which is the size of the thing a corpus would settle. The ordering of the events by total surprise does not move at all until the very end: 5 of the 6 correlations swept give exactly the ordering independence gives, and only perfect dependence changes it, by 3 places out of 7. The most surprising event in the passage is the same one at every correlation. So the corpus three separate accounts have recorded wanting would change what this figure reports and not what it concludes.

Two surprises and one event

A chord change is surprising twice over — in which chord it is, and in when it comes — and a listener meets one event. Adding two surprises needs to know how much they share, which is a fact about a repertoire nobody has. Sweeping it instead: the total moves by half, the ordering does not move at all, and the most surprising moment in a passage is the same one whatever the answer turns out to be.

harmony · Tonal-expectation
Where a cycle of 16 at 16, 8, 4 outruns the listener's memory. The residual uncertainty a listener is left with once the evidence has stopped accumulating, against how long one turn of a 16-step cycle takes. The listener's memory of a step halves after 3.5 seconds throughout; what changes is how many steps that is. At a cycle of 1.6 seconds it is 35 steps and every design reaches certainty, which is the regime a clave is played in. At 60 seconds it is 0.93 steps and none of them does: layers at 16, 8, 4 settles at 1.89 bits, son clave settles at 2.27 bits, the bossa-nova pattern settles at 2.38 bits, the best single line of 7 settles at 1.85 bits. That is the range a gong cycle occupies, and it is the design that wins there.

The cycle that outruns the memory

A timeline and a colotomy were compared at equal strokes and the comparison had no clock in it. A memory span is a number of seconds and a cycle is a number of steps, so the two only meet through a tempo — and at a clave's two seconds a listener's memory covers twenty-eight steps and forgets nothing, while at a gong cycle's forty it covers 1.4 and forgets almost everything. The single line is the better locator up to twenty-three seconds a cycle and the layered code is better after it, which is very close to where each is actually used.

rhythm · Cyclic rhythm
A third of the timing surprise is paid for by nothing happening. Every beat of a bar of 4/4 at 1 chord change a bar, with what it costs a listener in expectation. The lower block is the arrival — the chance the chord changes here times what that change costs to be surprised by. The upper block is the hold, which is paid when the chord does not change and is charged at every beat rather than at every event. Over the bar the arrivals come to 2.61 bits and the non-arrivals to 1.29, so the term never spent before is 33 per cent of the total rather than most of it. The two together are exactly the binary entropy of each beat's own hazard, which is why the bar's whole timing bill is 3.90 bits and cannot be raised by rearranging where the changes fall.

The surprise of nothing happening

A hazard charges a listener twice — once when the chord changes and once, quietly, at every beat it does not. The second term was expected to dominate, because there are more beats than changes. It is a third of the bill at one chord a bar and never reaches a half at any rate a metre survives, because the cost of a beat where nothing happens is second-order small.

harmony · Tonal-expectation
What a chord change costs where it actually lands. Every beat of a bar of 4/4 at 1 change a bar, priced as a listener meets it: the pale block is what has already been paid waiting through the beats the chord did not come on, and the dark block is the arrival itself. Their sum is what it costs to be surprised by a change here. The last column is the remaining case, never priced before: no change in the bar at all, at 1.61 bits and a probability of 0.33. The 9 costs are a proper distribution — 1.000 — which is the check that this is one model rather than two. And the spread is the finding: the arrival term alone puts a factor of 6.7 between the best and worst beat, and counting the waiting makes it 19.

Where the chord actually lands

Every timing surprise so far is evaluated on a downbeat: the curve spans a factor of 6.7 and every number is read at its peak. Charge the waiting as well as the arrival and the costs over a bar become a proper distribution, the spread between the best and worst beat rises to a factor of 19.5, and a third of the probability sits on a bar in which nothing changes at all.

harmony · Tonal-expectation
The reading the joint search was never offered. The best chord at each mixture of the two segmentation cues, and what the same weighting gives the same notes shuffled into a different order. Both fall along the axis, and most of the fall is the ruler rather than the music: a metrical weighting over a bar of eight spans a factor of eight and a three-to-one duration spans three, so the weighted note mass is 2.1 times more concentrated at the left of the figure than at the right, and a concentrated mass is easier for four notes to cover. What is not the ruler is the gap. It is widest at a mixture of 0.75, where the reading is D minor7 at 2.15 standard deviations above its own null, against 1.12 for C major7 at a mixture of nought. The joint search holds this axis at nought, so D minor7 is not among the hypotheses it considers.

A fourth decision, and two that were never made

The joint search resolves key, metre and segmentation together and holds the segmentation's cue mixture at zero. Adding the mixture is one loop, and reading the search in order to add it turns up something worse than a missing axis: on the passages it is drawn on, the key it reads is the same key at all forty-eight of its hypotheses and the metre scores every barline identically. The fourth axis then cannot be ranked at all until each reading is measured against its own null, because a mixture changes the ruler and not only the answer.

harmony · Progression
Where a bar of 25 and a bar of 9 first disagree. The additive metre 2+2+2+3+2+2+2+3+2+2+3 — 25 units, an onset at the head of every group — with the accents it predicts drawn above the accents predicted by reading it as a repeating bar of 9, which is the cut of it that agrees longest. The two rows are identical for 24 consecutive steps and differ for the first time at step 25, where the shorter reading expects an accent and the metre does not supply one. Nothing before that step distinguishes the two hypotheses, so a listener who has not heard 25 consecutive steps has no evidence either way — whatever they are disposed to hear.

A twenty-five is a nine until its last unit

Every account of long additive metres says they are heard as groups of shorter ones, and the metre-induction model had never been pointed at the claim. Pointed at it, the model does not prefer the group — it prefers the long bar outright, and would go on preferring it more the longer anybody listened. What it cannot do is start: the evidence that separates a bar of twenty-five from a bar of nine does not exist until the whole bar has been heard, and at the tempo an unequal metre is best played at the psychological present holds sixteen units.

rhythm · Additive metre
A note on the downbeat costs 1.89 bits and one on the offbeat 5.70. What each position in a bar of 4/4 asks of a reader, by two routes. The solid bar counts where the notes of this collection's own three tunes actually fall — 28, 2, 26, 4, 28, 0, 16, 0 notes at the 8 positions — and takes minus the log of the frequency. The rule across each bar is the same quantity from the stated metrical weights, 1, 0.15, 0.5, 0.15, 0.85, 0.15, 0.5, 0.15, normalised and logged the same way. Nothing makes the two agree. They put the eight positions in the same order, and they price the tunes' own rhythm a fifth of a bit apart — while differing by more than a whole bit about the quaver after the downbeat, which two notes in a hundred and four ever use. The two positions these tunes never touch at all are drawn at the floor, which is the same floor the melodic measure gives an interval nobody plays. A weight was always a probability waiting to be read as one.

Where the note is costs more than which note it is

Thirteen earlier essays measure a page, and the three that price a reader price only its pitches — every line they measure is a run of equal notes. A metrical weight normalised by its own sum is a probability, and minus its logarithm is bits — the same substitution made earlier for intervals. Measured over the tunes used throughout it comes out at 2.23 bits a note against the pitches' 1.89, so the larger half of a reader's load is where the note is.

rhythm · Notation
How often the metre, the chords and their product find the barline, chords at 1. Constructed passages of four bars of eight quavers, 100 at each setting, with the barline at the first slot. Rhythm regularity is how much likelier a note is on a strong slot than a weak one; chord regularity is how much likelier a note is to be a tone of its bar's chord than a random scale tone. rhythm 0: metre finds it 10%, chords find it 41%, product finds it 16%; rhythm 0.25: metre finds it 34%, chords find it 35%, product finds it 56%; rhythm 0.5: metre finds it 49%, chords find it 21%, product finds it 66%; rhythm 0.75: metre finds it 50%, chords find it 17%, product finds it 56%; rhythm 1: metre finds it 50%, chords find it 11%, product finds it 45%.

The chords never move the barline

Every hypothesis the joint search had drawn was one bar long, and on one bar with a note in every slot the metre cannot choose a barline at all. Four bars with rests in them make the barline a decision the metre and the chords both have an opinion about, and the prediction was that the chords would move the barline more often than the barline moves the chords. It is the other way round, completely: whenever the two prefer different barlines the search takes the metre's, on up to 72 per cent of passages, and in fifteen hundred passages the chords never once move it. What the chords decide is the one thing the metre cannot see — whether the bar starts on the downbeat or half a bar later — and they decide it right a little over two times in three at best.

harmony · Progression
The product and the sum of standard scores, finding the barline, chords at 1. Constructed passages of four bars of eight quavers, 100 at each setting, with the barline at the first slot. Rhythm regularity is how much likelier a note is on a strong slot than a weak one; chord regularity is how much likelier a note is to be a tone of its bar's chord than a random scale tone. rhythm 0: product finds it 16%, sum of z finds it 22%, metre finds it 10%, chords, z 35%; rhythm 0.25: product finds it 56%, sum of z finds it 58%, metre finds it 34%, chords, z 38%; rhythm 0.5: product finds it 66%, sum of z finds it 61%, metre finds it 49%, chords, z 19%; rhythm 0.75: product finds it 56%, sum of z finds it 58%, metre finds it 50%, chords, z 14%; rhythm 1: product finds it 45%, sum of z finds it 48%, metre finds it 50%, chords, z 12%.

The chords are a weak witness to the barline

Scaled by its own range, the metre overrules the chords every time the two disagree about where a bar begins. The obvious repair is to score each reading against its own chance — the metre against the same number of notes placed at random, the chords against the passage's notes shuffled across its bars — and add the standard scores. It changes very little: the search finds the barline within six points of where the product found it, and the chords gain the power to move the barline only on passages whose rhythm says nothing, where random notes move it nearly as often. The null's real result is the size of the two witnesses. At the written barline the metre stands up to 5.9 standard deviations above chance, and the chords, with every note a tone of its bar's chord, stand 1.55 above it at best.

harmony · Progression
An accent moves the longest separable bar from 16 units to 18, and no further. For every bar length from 9 to 25 units, over all 1820 arrangements of twos and threes that are not a repeat of a shorter bar, the fewest and the most consecutive steps before the whole bar beats every shorter cut of it. 9: onsets alone 9 to 14, long beat predicted 7 to 12, downbeat predicted 7 to 8; 10: onsets alone 10 to 13, long beat predicted 8 to 11, downbeat predicted 8 to 9; 11: onsets alone 11 to 18, long beat predicted 9 to 16, downbeat predicted 9 to 10; 12: onsets alone 12 to 17, long beat predicted 10 to 15, downbeat predicted 10 to 11; 13: onsets alone 13 to 22, long beat predicted 11 to 20, downbeat predicted 11 to 12; 14: onsets alone 14 to 23, long beat predicted 12 to 21, downbeat predicted 12 to 13; 15: onsets alone 15 to 26, long beat predicted 13 to 24, downbeat predicted 13 to 14; 16: onsets alone 16 to 25, long beat predicted 14 to 23, downbeat predicted 14 to 15; 17: onsets alone 17 to 30, long beat predicted 15 to 28, downbeat predicted 15 to 16; 18: onsets alone 18 to 29, long beat predicted 16 to 27, downbeat predicted 16 to 17; 19: onsets alone 19 to 34, long beat predicted 17 to 32, downbeat predicted 17 to 18; 20: onsets alone 20 to 35, long beat predicted 18 to 33, downbeat predicted 18 to 19; 21: onsets alone 21 to 38, long beat predicted 19 to 36, downbeat predicted 19 to 20; 22: onsets alone 22 to 37, long beat predicted 20 to 35, downbeat predicted 20 to 21; 23: onsets alone 23 to 42, long beat predicted 21 to 40, downbeat predicted 21 to 22; 24: onsets alone 24 to 41, long beat predicted 22 to 39, downbeat predicted 22 to 23; 25: onsets alone 25 to 46, long beat predicted 23 to 44, downbeat predicted 23 to 24. A present of 3.5 seconds holds 16.0 steps at 218 milliseconds a step, so the longest bar some arrangement of which separates inside it is 16 units on onsets alone, 18 with the long beat predicted and 18 with the downbeat predicted.

The accent buys two units, however loud it is

A twenty-five cannot be told from a group of shorter bars on its onsets until more steps have gone by than a listener's present holds, and the obvious objection is that nobody plays an aksak bar as bare onsets: the long beat is louder, and the bar's first beat is marked. So how loud does an accent have to be? The question has a surprising answer. Loudness is not the variable. The existing accent cue changes nothing, and delays the answer where it changes anything. An accent that a reading has to predict works at any strength at all, and at no strength does more than a fixed amount: on the long beat it buys the two steps of a short beat, and on the downbeat it takes every arrangement to one floor — the bar less its last beat — which no cue carried by the notes can break. The longest bar that can be heard as one moves from sixteen units to eighteen.

rhythm · Additive metre
Four bars read by where the chords change, barline by barline. A constructed passage of four bars of eight quavers, its barline at the first slot and its chords C, F, Em, Dm. Notes: slot 1 C, slot 3 E, slot 4 G, slot 5 E, slot 6 C, slot 9 C, slot 10 C, slot 11 F, slot 13 A, slot 16 C, slot 17 B, slot 19 B, slot 20 E, slot 21 E, slot 24 G, slot 25 F, slot 29 F. For each of the eight places the barline could fall: as written metre, z 3.97, chords, z 2.00, change, z 4.30, metre + change, z 8.27; 1 quaver late metre, z -2.45, chords, z 2.14, change, z -0.87, metre + change, z -3.32; 2 quavers late metre, z -1.38, chords, z 2.15, change, z -0.54, metre + change, z -1.93; 3 quavers late metre, z -0.31, chords, z -0.27, change, z -2.64, metre + change, z -2.95; 4 quavers late metre, z 3.97, chords, z -1.63, change, z -4.30, metre + change, z -0.33; 5 quavers late metre, z -2.45, chords, z 1.27, change, z 0.87, metre + change, z -1.58; 6 quavers late metre, z -1.38, chords, z 1.18, change, z 0.54, metre + change, z -0.84; 7 quavers late metre, z -0.31, chords, z 1.05, change, z 2.64, metre + change, z 2.32. Best metre, z: as written and 4 late. Best chords, z: 2 late. Best change, z: as written. Best metre + change, z: as written.

The chords mark the barline by changing there

Read bar by bar, the chords stood barely above chance at the barline and broke the metre's half-bar tie two times in three at best. Read instead by where they change — how different the chords are across a candidate's barlines against how different they are across the middle of its bars — the same notes break the tie right on 81 to 96 per cent of passages, and added to the metre they find the barline on up to 89 per cent against 61. The weakness was the question the old reading asked, not the harmony.

harmony · Progression
A listener who knows every metre recognises none of them inside the present. For every bar length from nine units to twenty-five, the fewest and the most steps from the downbeat before every other one of the 1820 arrangements of twos and threes has been contradicted by the stream, on onsets alone, with the long beats accented and with the downbeat accented, against the 16 steps a present of 3.5 seconds holds. onsets alone: recognised within the present for 0 of 1820; long-beat accent: recognised within the present for 0 of 1820; downbeat accent: recognised within the present for 85 of 1820. The dashed line is the present.

Knowing every metre is slower than knowing none

A long aksak bar cannot be told from its shorter cuts by induction before one step into its last beat, and no accent carried by the notes moves that floor. The obvious escape is a listener who knows the repertoire and recognises the metre instead. Recognition among all 1,820 arrangements of twos and threes never beats the floor, is never quicker than induction, and is slower for half the metres: a nine induced in 9 steps is recognised in 27. What breaks the floor is a small repertoire that leaves out the metre's own longest cut — with the cut known, no repertoire of any size does.

rhythm · Additive metre
Come in part-way with the downbeat accented, and no bar of sixteen units or more is recognised inside the present. For every bar length from nine units to twenty-five, the fewest and the most steps a listener who knows every arrangement of twos and threes needs to recognise the metre and where its bar begins, with the downbeat accented: coming in at a sample of steps inside the bar, against hearing it from its written downbeat. On onsets alone, or with the long beats accented, a metre entered part-way is never told from its rotations. 9: from inside the bar 10 to 17, 16 of 20 inside the present; from the downbeat 10 to 10; 10: from inside the bar 11 to 19, 12 of 20 inside the present; from the downbeat 11 to 11; 11: from inside the bar 12 to 21, 9 of 18 inside the present; from the downbeat 12 to 12; 12: from inside the bar 13 to 23, 8 of 24 inside the present; from the downbeat 13 to 13; 13: from inside the bar 14 to 25, 8 of 28 inside the present; from the downbeat 14 to 14; 14: from inside the bar 15 to 27, 4 of 28 inside the present; from the downbeat 15 to 15; 15: from inside the bar 16 to 29, 4 of 32 inside the present; from the downbeat 16 to 16; 16: from inside the bar 17 to 31, 0 of 32 inside the present; from the downbeat 17 to 17; 17: from inside the bar 18 to 32, 0 of 36 inside the present; from the downbeat 18 to 18; 18: from inside the bar 19 to 32, 0 of 36 inside the present; from the downbeat 19 to 19; 19: from inside the bar 20 to 37, 0 of 40 inside the present; from the downbeat 20 to 20; 20: from inside the bar 21 to 35, 0 of 40 inside the present; from the downbeat 21 to 21; 21: from inside the bar 22 to 40, 0 of 44 inside the present; from the downbeat 22 to 22; 22: from inside the bar 23 to 39, 0 of 44 inside the present; from the downbeat 23 to 23; 23: from inside the bar 24 to 44, 0 of 48 inside the present; from the downbeat 23 to 24; 24: from inside the bar 23 to 39, 0 of 48 inside the present; from the downbeat 23 to 25; 25: from inside the bar 22 to 44, 0 of 52 inside the present; from the downbeat 23 to 25. In all, 61 of 590 entries are recognised within the 16 steps of a 3.5-second present.

A dancer who comes in late needs the downbeat marked

Every window for recognising an aksak metre so far started at its written downbeat. A dancer joining a dance already going has not heard the downbeat, and the arithmetic of that is blunt: a metre entered part-way is, onset for onset, each of its own rotations heard from their downbeats, and the rotations are metres too — 2+2+3 and 3+2+2 are counted differently. So on onsets, and with the long beats accented, no metre is ever told from its rotations. Only an accented downbeat tells them apart, and with it a listener who knows thirty metres recognises 54 per cent of them inside the present from a random entry, against 1 per cent without.

rhythm · Additive metre
The change reading follows the chords, not the bar. How far above the other candidates the true barline stands, in standard units, for the reading that scores how much the pitch-class content changes at each candidate — at three harmonic rhythms. At 2 chords a bar the margin is 0.12 and the reading finds the barline 12 per cent of the time; At 1 chord a bar the margin is 1.66 and the reading finds the barline 42 per cent of the time; At a chord every two bars the margin is 0.47 and the reading finds the barline 27 per cent of the time, against a chance rate of 13 per cent. The passages read earlier all changed chord once a bar, which is the middle column and the only one where the reading has anything. Two chords a bar puts a change at the half-bar as well and the reading cannot tell the two apart; a chord every two bars leaves half the barlines with no change at all and the margin halves exactly.

The change reading follows the chords, not the bar

Every passage read until now changes chord exactly at the barline, which is the one harmonic rhythm at which 'the chords change here' and 'the bar starts here' are the same sentence. Pull them apart and the reading goes with the chords: at one chord a bar it stands 1.52 standard units above the other candidates and finds the barline half the time, at two chords a bar it stands 0.01 above them and is at chance, and at a chord every two bars its margin is exactly half — because half the barlines then carry no change at all.

harmony · Progression
Asked for the rate, it answers a multiple of it. The change reading asked its own question — what period do the chords change at — over passages built at three harmonic rhythms, with its standardised score for each candidate period. Given 2 chords a bar it recovers the rate 33 per cent of the time and answers too slow 65; Given 1 chord a bar it recovers the rate 58 per cent of the time and answers too slow 38; Given a chord every two bars it recovers the rate 93 per cent of the time and answers too slow 0. It never errs fast in the way it errs slow, and the reason is structural: a chord change every four slots also produces a change at every eighth slot, so a slower grid inherits a faster rate's evidence and a faster grid cannot inherit a slower one's. That ambiguity is why the reading looked like a barline detector in the first place — the bar is a multiple of every harmonic rhythm that fits inside it.

Asked for the rate, it answers a multiple

A reading that follows the chord rate rather than the bar can be asked what the rate is, and the shape of its errors is the whole of why it looked like a barline detector. Given two chords a bar it returns the right period a third of the time and something slower two thirds; given a chord every two bars it is right nine times in ten. It errs slow and essentially never fast, because a change every four slots also falls on every eighth slot and a slower grid inherits a faster rate's evidence — which is the same asymmetry that makes a pitch detector report an octave too low.

harmony · Progression
The content errs slow and the bass errs fast. Passages of eight bars built at three harmonic rhythms, each with a bass that states every new chord's root and moves to another chord tone on a beat 50 per cent of the time. Two readings are asked the chord rate: one from how much the pitch-class content changes across a grid, one from how completely the bass's moves land on it. At two chords a bar the content reading names the rate 63 per cent of the time, too fast 0 and too slow 37; the bass reading 100, 0 and 0. At one chord a bar the content reading names the rate 67 per cent of the time, too fast 0 and too slow 33; the bass reading 18, 80 and 2. At a chord every two bars the content reading names the rate 98 per cent of the time, too fast 2 and too slow 0; the bass reading 0, 100 and 0. The two readings miss in opposite directions and at opposite ends of the tempo range: the content reading at fast harmonic rhythms, by naming a multiple, and the bass reading at slow ones, by naming its own arpeggiation.

The bass errs fast where the content errs slow

Asked how often the chords change, a reading built on pitch-class content names a slower multiple and never a faster rate. Give the passage a bass that states each new root and moves between chord tones inside a chord, and a reading built on the bass's moves errs the other way: it names a faster grid and never a slower one. At two chords a bar the bass is right every time; at a chord every two bars it is never right. Six ways of combining the two readings each trade one end of the range for the other.

harmony · Progression
Holding the bass through one mid-bar change in six finds the barline five times in six. Passages of eight bars at two chords a bar, with the bass arpeggiating on 50 per cent of its beats, and each barline reading's share of passages it places correctly, against the share of mid-bar chord changes voiced over the bass already sounding. 0% held (convention strength 0): metre then bass 50%, bass alone 13%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 10%; 4% held (convention strength 0.1): metre then bass 62%, bass alone 34%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 10%; 6% held (convention strength 0.2): metre then bass 68%, bass alone 44%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 15%; 9% held (convention strength 0.3): metre then bass 75%, bass alone 57%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 18%; 15% held (convention strength 0.4): metre then bass 82%, bass alone 68%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 13%; 16% held (convention strength 0.5): metre then bass 85%, bass alone 74%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 14%; 20% held (convention strength 0.6): metre then bass 88%, bass alone 79%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 11%; 26% held (convention strength 0.7): metre then bass 92%, bass alone 86%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 13%; 27% held (convention strength 0.8): metre then bass 92%, bass alone 86%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 13%; 28% held (convention strength 0.9): metre then bass 95%, bass alone 92%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 10%; 33% held (convention strength 1): metre then bass 96%, bass alone 93%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 10%. The metre ties the barline with the half-bar and the chord changes are at chance, since the chords change at both; the bass's holds are the only evidence that separates them.

A bass that holds through a change marks the barline

At two chords a bar the chords change on the barline and on the half-bar alike, so a reading of where they change is at chance, and the metre ties the two. The bass has one more piece of evidence: a change inside the bar can be voiced over the note already sounding, and a change on the barline is voiced over its root. Hold the bass through one mid-bar change in six and the metre and bass together place the barline in 85 per cent of eight-bar passages; one in three, 97. The convention cannot be stronger than that, and the chord changes, asked first, only get in the way.

harmony · Progression

Named alongside it

The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.

Harmonic rhythmDownbeatInferenceMetrical weightOnset patternSyncopationInformationAdditive metreAksakBeatEntrainmentEvidence

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