Concept

Evidence — where it appears

What a passage offers a model trying to name its key: a bag of notes, an ordered pair of chords, or both. Different kinds of evidence are not independent on real material, because every chord added supplies some of each.

Named by 26 essays across 3 fields — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.

Two kinds of evidence, each measured against its own chance. Every key as a point: across, how many standard deviations its cadence count is above what the same bars resampled would give; up, the same for its pitch-class profile correlation. The winner on cadences is key C at 6.2 standard deviations and on profile C at 1.1, and they agree. Standard deviations above chance are the same unit whatever produced them, which is the commensuration this figure is for — and it costs something: it assumes the two chances are equally interesting, which is a weighting in disguise. The obvious null does not work at all for one of the two: shuffling the bars leaves a pitch-class histogram exactly as it was, so its spread is zero and every key scores nothing against it.

A count and a correlation

Cadence evidence is a count of ordered pairs and profile evidence is a correlation with a template, and the cadence essay refused to total them because they are not in the same units. Score each against its own chance and they are — standard deviations above chance are the same unit whatever produced them. Then the trouble moves: the obvious null does nothing at all to one of the two, because shuffling the bars leaves a pitch-class histogram exactly as it was.

harmony · Progression
The passage built so the two statistics disagree. A body of chords diatonic to C major, of growing length, ended by a ii–V–I in G. The bag of notes says one key and the ordered pair says the other, which is the case the earlier figures never contained. The line is the cadence evidence for G, and under the axis is what each reading actually names at each length. The cadence reading holds G up to a body of 6 bars and is overturned at 8, so one explicit cadence is worth about that many bars of profile evidence — and it is overturned by the body's OWN incidental root motions rather than by the histogram at all. That is the finding the earlier essay could not have: on real material the two statistics cannot be varied independently, because lengthening the profile evidence adds cadence evidence too, for a third key.

The passage built to make them disagree

A cadence count and a key-profile correlation have been put on one scale and run on a passage where the two agree, which tells nobody anything. Building one where they disagree — the notes of one key and the cadences of another — measures the exchange rate at about six bars per cadence, and finds something the agreement case concealed: the two statistics cannot be varied independently, because lengthening the profile evidence adds cadence evidence too, for a third key.

harmony · Progression
Where a bar of 25 and a bar of 9 first disagree. The additive metre 2+2+2+3+2+2+2+3+2+2+3 — 25 units, an onset at the head of every group — with the accents it predicts drawn above the accents predicted by reading it as a repeating bar of 9, which is the cut of it that agrees longest. The two rows are identical for 24 consecutive steps and differ for the first time at step 25, where the shorter reading expects an accent and the metre does not supply one. Nothing before that step distinguishes the two hypotheses, so a listener who has not heard 25 consecutive steps has no evidence either way — whatever they are disposed to hear.

A twenty-five is a nine until its last unit

Every account of long additive metres says they are heard as groups of shorter ones, and the metre-induction model had never been pointed at the claim. Pointed at it, the model does not prefer the group — it prefers the long bar outright, and would go on preferring it more the longer anybody listened. What it cannot do is start: the evidence that separates a bar of twenty-five from a bar of nine does not exist until the whole bar has been heard, and at the tempo an unequal metre is best played at the psychological present holds sixteen units.

rhythm · Additive metre
The product and the sum of standard scores, finding the barline, chords at 1. Constructed passages of four bars of eight quavers, 100 at each setting, with the barline at the first slot. Rhythm regularity is how much likelier a note is on a strong slot than a weak one; chord regularity is how much likelier a note is to be a tone of its bar's chord than a random scale tone. rhythm 0: product finds it 16%, sum of z finds it 22%, metre finds it 10%, chords, z 35%; rhythm 0.25: product finds it 56%, sum of z finds it 58%, metre finds it 34%, chords, z 38%; rhythm 0.5: product finds it 66%, sum of z finds it 61%, metre finds it 49%, chords, z 19%; rhythm 0.75: product finds it 56%, sum of z finds it 58%, metre finds it 50%, chords, z 14%; rhythm 1: product finds it 45%, sum of z finds it 48%, metre finds it 50%, chords, z 12%.

The chords are a weak witness to the barline

Scaled by its own range, the metre overrules the chords every time the two disagree about where a bar begins. The obvious repair is to score each reading against its own chance — the metre against the same number of notes placed at random, the chords against the passage's notes shuffled across its bars — and add the standard scores. It changes very little: the search finds the barline within six points of where the product found it, and the chords gain the power to move the barline only on passages whose rhythm says nothing, where random notes move it nearly as often. The null's real result is the size of the two witnesses. At the written barline the metre stands up to 5.9 standard deviations above chance, and the chords, with every note a tone of its bar's chord, stand 1.55 above it at best.

harmony · Progression
An accent moves the longest separable bar from 16 units to 18, and no further. For every bar length from 9 to 25 units, over all 1820 arrangements of twos and threes that are not a repeat of a shorter bar, the fewest and the most consecutive steps before the whole bar beats every shorter cut of it. 9: onsets alone 9 to 14, long beat predicted 7 to 12, downbeat predicted 7 to 8; 10: onsets alone 10 to 13, long beat predicted 8 to 11, downbeat predicted 8 to 9; 11: onsets alone 11 to 18, long beat predicted 9 to 16, downbeat predicted 9 to 10; 12: onsets alone 12 to 17, long beat predicted 10 to 15, downbeat predicted 10 to 11; 13: onsets alone 13 to 22, long beat predicted 11 to 20, downbeat predicted 11 to 12; 14: onsets alone 14 to 23, long beat predicted 12 to 21, downbeat predicted 12 to 13; 15: onsets alone 15 to 26, long beat predicted 13 to 24, downbeat predicted 13 to 14; 16: onsets alone 16 to 25, long beat predicted 14 to 23, downbeat predicted 14 to 15; 17: onsets alone 17 to 30, long beat predicted 15 to 28, downbeat predicted 15 to 16; 18: onsets alone 18 to 29, long beat predicted 16 to 27, downbeat predicted 16 to 17; 19: onsets alone 19 to 34, long beat predicted 17 to 32, downbeat predicted 17 to 18; 20: onsets alone 20 to 35, long beat predicted 18 to 33, downbeat predicted 18 to 19; 21: onsets alone 21 to 38, long beat predicted 19 to 36, downbeat predicted 19 to 20; 22: onsets alone 22 to 37, long beat predicted 20 to 35, downbeat predicted 20 to 21; 23: onsets alone 23 to 42, long beat predicted 21 to 40, downbeat predicted 21 to 22; 24: onsets alone 24 to 41, long beat predicted 22 to 39, downbeat predicted 22 to 23; 25: onsets alone 25 to 46, long beat predicted 23 to 44, downbeat predicted 23 to 24. A present of 3.5 seconds holds 16.0 steps at 218 milliseconds a step, so the longest bar some arrangement of which separates inside it is 16 units on onsets alone, 18 with the long beat predicted and 18 with the downbeat predicted.

The accent buys two units, however loud it is

A twenty-five cannot be told from a group of shorter bars on its onsets until more steps have gone by than a listener's present holds, and the obvious objection is that nobody plays an aksak bar as bare onsets: the long beat is louder, and the bar's first beat is marked. So how loud does an accent have to be? The question has a surprising answer. Loudness is not the variable. The existing accent cue changes nothing, and delays the answer where it changes anything. An accent that a reading has to predict works at any strength at all, and at no strength does more than a fixed amount: on the long beat it buys the two steps of a short beat, and on the downbeat it takes every arrangement to one floor — the bar less its last beat — which no cue carried by the notes can break. The longest bar that can be heard as one moves from sixteen units to eighteen.

rhythm · Additive metre
Four bars read by where the chords change, barline by barline. A constructed passage of four bars of eight quavers, its barline at the first slot and its chords C, F, Em, Dm. Notes: slot 1 C, slot 3 E, slot 4 G, slot 5 E, slot 6 C, slot 9 C, slot 10 C, slot 11 F, slot 13 A, slot 16 C, slot 17 B, slot 19 B, slot 20 E, slot 21 E, slot 24 G, slot 25 F, slot 29 F. For each of the eight places the barline could fall: as written metre, z 3.97, chords, z 2.00, change, z 4.30, metre + change, z 8.27; 1 quaver late metre, z -2.45, chords, z 2.14, change, z -0.87, metre + change, z -3.32; 2 quavers late metre, z -1.38, chords, z 2.15, change, z -0.54, metre + change, z -1.93; 3 quavers late metre, z -0.31, chords, z -0.27, change, z -2.64, metre + change, z -2.95; 4 quavers late metre, z 3.97, chords, z -1.63, change, z -4.30, metre + change, z -0.33; 5 quavers late metre, z -2.45, chords, z 1.27, change, z 0.87, metre + change, z -1.58; 6 quavers late metre, z -1.38, chords, z 1.18, change, z 0.54, metre + change, z -0.84; 7 quavers late metre, z -0.31, chords, z 1.05, change, z 2.64, metre + change, z 2.32. Best metre, z: as written and 4 late. Best chords, z: 2 late. Best change, z: as written. Best metre + change, z: as written.

The chords mark the barline by changing there

Read bar by bar, the chords stood barely above chance at the barline and broke the metre's half-bar tie two times in three at best. Read instead by where they change — how different the chords are across a candidate's barlines against how different they are across the middle of its bars — the same notes break the tie right on 81 to 96 per cent of passages, and added to the metre they find the barline on up to 89 per cent against 61. The weakness was the question the old reading asked, not the harmony.

harmony · Progression
The content errs slow and the bass errs fast. Passages of eight bars built at three harmonic rhythms, each with a bass that states every new chord's root and moves to another chord tone on a beat 50 per cent of the time. Two readings are asked the chord rate: one from how much the pitch-class content changes across a grid, one from how completely the bass's moves land on it. At two chords a bar the content reading names the rate 63 per cent of the time, too fast 0 and too slow 37; the bass reading 100, 0 and 0. At one chord a bar the content reading names the rate 67 per cent of the time, too fast 0 and too slow 33; the bass reading 18, 80 and 2. At a chord every two bars the content reading names the rate 98 per cent of the time, too fast 2 and too slow 0; the bass reading 0, 100 and 0. The two readings miss in opposite directions and at opposite ends of the tempo range: the content reading at fast harmonic rhythms, by naming a multiple, and the bass reading at slow ones, by naming its own arpeggiation.

The bass errs fast where the content errs slow

Asked how often the chords change, a reading built on pitch-class content names a slower multiple and never a faster rate. Give the passage a bass that states each new root and moves between chord tones inside a chord, and a reading built on the bass's moves errs the other way: it names a faster grid and never a slower one. At two chords a bar the bass is right every time; at a chord every two bars it is never right. Six ways of combining the two readings each trade one end of the range for the other.

harmony · Progression
The ceiling is thirteen bars, and every one of them has a name. Every bar of the six schemes read by the key-finder at a key cost of 3 and a bass weight of 3, with the chord in every bar given exactly — no segmentation is involved. 175 of 188 bars have both the key and the degree right, 93.1 per cent. The misses: 7 in the thirty-two-bar song's bridge, where the chain III7 is read in E major, III7 is read in E major, VI7 is read in E major, VI7 is read in D major, II7 is read in D major, II7 is read in D major, V7 is read in D major; 4 bars of the rondo's A minor episode read as C major; 2 next to a change of key; and 0 of any other kind.

The ceiling is thirteen bars with names

The key-finder's two cues stop buying anything at about 93 per cent of scheme bars read right, and the obvious suspect was the chord segmentation feeding it. The reading was never given a segmentation: every bar arrives with its true chord. What the ceiling is made of can be listed instead, and it is thirteen bars of 188 — seven in a bridge of secondary dominants, four in a minor episode whose chords C major also owns, and two at the edges of a modulation. No weight of any cue moves one of them.

scales · Key-relations
Holding the bass through one mid-bar change in six finds the barline five times in six. Passages of eight bars at two chords a bar, with the bass arpeggiating on 50 per cent of its beats, and each barline reading's share of passages it places correctly, against the share of mid-bar chord changes voiced over the bass already sounding. 0% held (convention strength 0): metre then bass 50%, bass alone 13%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 10%; 4% held (convention strength 0.1): metre then bass 62%, bass alone 33%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 10%; 6% held (convention strength 0.2): metre then bass 68%, bass alone 41%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 15%; 9% held (convention strength 0.3): metre then bass 75%, bass alone 50%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 18%; 15% held (convention strength 0.4): metre then bass 81%, bass alone 66%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 13%; 16% held (convention strength 0.5): metre then bass 85%, bass alone 71%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 14%; 20% held (convention strength 0.6): metre then bass 86%, bass alone 74%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 11%; 26% held (convention strength 0.7): metre then bass 90%, bass alone 82%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 13%; 27% held (convention strength 0.8): metre then bass 91%, bass alone 82%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 13%; 28% held (convention strength 0.9): metre then bass 95%, bass alone 89%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 10%; 33% held (convention strength 1): metre then bass 96%, bass alone 90%, metre alone 50%, chord changes alone 10%. The metre ties the barline with the half-bar and the chord changes are at chance, since the chords change at both; the bass's holds are the only evidence that separates them.

A bass that holds through a change marks the barline

At two chords a bar the chords change on the barline and on the half-bar alike, so a reading of where they change is at chance, and the metre ties the two. The bass has one more piece of evidence: a change inside the bar can be voiced over the note already sounding, and a change on the barline is voiced over its root. Hold the bass through one mid-bar change in six and the metre and bass together place the barline in 85 per cent of eight-bar passages; one in three, 97. The convention cannot be stronger than that, and the chord changes, asked first, only get in the way.

harmony · Progression
As the bass stops standing still, what marks the barline stops being its motion and becomes its note. Passages of eight bars at one chord a bar, and how often each reading places the barline, against how often the bass moves to another tone of the chord on a crotchet. Every reading is the metre's own candidates with one witness breaking its tie. bass moving on 0% of crotchets: moves 100%, root 50%, surer of the two 100%, metre alone 50%; bass moving on 13% of crotchets: moves 100%, root 94%, surer of the two 100%, metre alone 50%; bass moving on 25% of crotchets: moves 100%, root 99%, surer of the two 100%, metre alone 50%; bass moving on 38% of crotchets: moves 99%, root 100%, surer of the two 100%, metre alone 50%; bass moving on 50% of crotchets: moves 95%, root 100%, surer of the two 100%, metre alone 50%; bass moving on 63% of crotchets: moves 88%, root 100%, surer of the two 100%, metre alone 50%; bass moving on 75% of crotchets: moves 77%, root 100%, surer of the two 100%, metre alone 50%; bass moving on 88% of crotchets: moves 54%, root 100%, surer of the two 100%, metre alone 50%; bass moving on 100% of crotchets: moves 20%, root 100%, surer of the two 94%, metre alone 50%. A bass that never moves inside the chord moves only at chord changes, which at this rate are barlines, so the move reading is certain and the root sounds throughout the bar and says nothing; a bass that moves on every crotchet moves everywhere and sounds the root only where the chord has just arrived.

A walking bass marks the bar by the note it is on

The reading that finds a barline from where the bass moves collapses to twenty per cent when the bass moves on every crotchet, and the bass the last essay called busiest moved twice a bar, because its beat was the half-bar. Given one that really walks, the same computation with sounds the chord's root in place of moves rises from nothing to a whole note a bar exactly as the other falls, and the two are equal at a bass moving on three crotchets in eight. Neither places a barline alone: the root is still sounding on the quaver after it. The metre, which cannot tell a barline from a half-bar, tells it from the quaver after it at once.

harmony · Progression
Two chords a bar over a moving bass: every witness there is, at chance together. Passages of eight bars at two chords a bar, with the chords always voiced over their own roots, and how often each reading places the barline against how often the bass moves inside the chord. 0%: metre alone 50%, with the moves 50%, with the root 50%, with both 50%; 13%: metre alone 50%, with the moves 49%, with the root 50%, with both 49%; 25%: metre alone 50%, with the moves 49%, with the root 50%, with both 49%; 38%: metre alone 50%, with the moves 49%, with the root 50%, with both 49%; 50%: metre alone 49%, with the moves 53%, with the root 49%, with both 54%; 63%: metre alone 50%, with the moves 54%, with the root 50%, with both 54%; 75%: metre alone 50%, with the moves 48%, with the root 50%, with both 48%; 88%: metre alone 50%, with the moves 51%, with the root 50%, with both 51%; 100%: metre alone 50%, with the moves 51%, with the root 50%, with both 51%. The metre ties the barline with the half-bar because both carry the same strong slots; the chords change at both; the bass states a root at both and moves between both. Nothing in the passage distinguishes them.

A texture in which nothing says where the bar begins

Two chords a bar over a bass that moves inside the chord is the one arrangement in which every witness this account has stands together at the metre's coin toss. The metre ties the barline with the half-bar, the chords change at both, and the bass states a root at both and walks between both — at every busyness, and whichever question the bass is asked. The only thing that breaks the symmetry is the voicing convention, and what it is worth falls from 98 per cent to 90 as the bass fills in, not because fewer changes can be held but because the motion around them is evidence for nothing. Chasing five points of residue above the toss found a defect that had been flattering the reading since it was written.

harmony · Progression
The leap at the barline is not in the harmony: it is in which octave the root is played in. How often the size of the bass's motion places the barline, at one chord a bar over eight bars, against how often the bass moves inside the chord, under two realisations of the same pitch classes in a register. Roots at the bottom of the compass: 100% at 0%, 100% at 13%, 100% at 25%, 99% at 38%, 96% at 50%, 95% at 63%, 93% at 75%, 92% at 88%, 90% at 100%. Least motion: 100%, 100%, 96%, 91%, 83%, 69%, 52%, 32%, 20%. Also drawn, the reading of whether the bass moved at all: 100%, 100%, 99%, 99%, 93%, 89%, 70%, 54%, 20%. The two realisations use the same notes in the same order and differ only in which octave each is played in.

The leap at the barline is a fact about register

A bass leaps to a root at the barline and steps inside the bar, and no reading of pitch classes can see it — so the essay that named it recorded it as a limit. Given octaves and the size of every motion, it is worth nothing: realised at least motion the reading tracks whether the bass moved at all and ends 0.87 semitones on the wrong side of zero, because a line that always takes the nearest octave has no leaps to take. Play a stated root at the bottom of the compass instead, and the same sixteen notes in the same order turn a margin of minus 1.67 semitones into plus 1.67 and hold at 90 per cent where the move reading has fallen to 20. The barline is not where the bass moves furthest. It is where the bass goes back down.

harmony · Progression
Relabelling the bridge does not rescue it. The thirty-two-bar song's eight bridge bars at a key cost of 3 and a bass weight of 3: the chord in each, the key the scheme labels it in, the key its dominant points at, and what the reading names. III7: scheme says C major, the tonicization says A minor, the reading says E major degree 1 — the chord's own root as a tonic; III7: scheme says C major, the tonicization says A minor, the reading says E major degree 1 — the chord's own root as a tonic; VI7: scheme says C major, the tonicization says D minor, the reading says E major degree 4; VI7: scheme says C major, the tonicization says D minor, the reading says D major degree 5; II7: scheme says C major, the tonicization says G major, the reading says D major degree 1 — the chord's own root as a tonic; II7: scheme says C major, the tonicization says G major, the reading says D major degree 1 — the chord's own root as a tonic; V7: scheme says C major, the tonicization says C major, the reading says D major degree 4; V7: scheme says C major, the tonicization says C major, the reading says C major degree 5. Right under the scheme's label: 1 of 8. Under the tonicization: 1. Under the tonicization with the mode set aside: 2. Read as its own tonic: 4.

The bridge is not a labelling problem

Seven of the key-finder's thirteen remaining misses are the thirty-two-bar song's bridge, and the essay before this one proposed that they might be an argument about labels rather than a failure: relabel the eight bars with the keys their dominants point at, and the reading's E and D majors might turn out to be right. They do not. The reading gets one bar of eight under either label, because four of the eight are read as the chord's own root taken for a tonic — a dominant seventh heard as a chord in its own right. And one of the bars the relabelling could have bought is unwinnable in principle: an applied dominant is the same four notes in the major and the minor of the key it points at.

scales · Key-relations
Told where each dominant goes, the reading splits every bridge chord between arrival and departure. The thirty-two-bar song's eight bridge bars — two each of E7, A7, D7 and G7 — at a key cost of 3 and a bass weight of 3, read without the resolution cue and with it at a weight of 3, where a bar read as the dominant of a key earns the weight when the next bar is rooted on that key's tonic. Without: E I, E I, E IV, D V, D I, D I, D IV, C V. With: A V, A V, A I, D V, D I, G V, G I, C V. Read as the key its dominant points at, root only: 2 of 8 without and 5 with; read as a dominant at all, 2 and 5.

Looking ahead rescues the relative minor, not the bridge

A key-finding reading that scores each bar by its own notes cannot hear an applied dominant, whose meaning is in the bar after it. Given one cue about a pair of bars — a dominant earns credit when the next bar is rooted on its key's tonic — the thirty-two-bar song's bridge is read as the chain of dominants it is, each chord both the arrival of the last and the departure to the next. But the same cue hears a blues's opening tonic seventh as the dominant of its own IV, and at the setting that read the listing best it costs five bars for three. The cue earns its place only in a reading reluctant to change key, and there what it rescues is the rondo's episode in the relative minor.

scales · Key-relations
The landmark stream loses its lead when the listener allows for a lost landmark, before any is lost. The share of metres recognised within the 16-step present from a random entry, 10 metres known, against the rate at which played onsets go unheard, for the landmark stream with its downbeat marked and every onset with the downbeat accented. The listener asks for odds of 19 to one against every rival; a silence where a rival predicts an onset is worth 1/p, so one silence settles a rival below p = 0.053 and two are needed up to 0.229. landmarks, downbeat marked, onsets lost: 82% at 0, 77% at 0.05, 47% at 0.1, 15% at 0.4; landmarks, downbeat marked, caution only: 82% at 0, 82% at 0.05, 57% at 0.1, 46% at 0.4; every onset, downbeat accented, onsets lost: 74% at 0, 70% at 0.05, 58% at 0.1, 22% at 0.4; every onset, downbeat accented, caution only: 74% at 0, 74% at 0.05, 69% at 0.1, 69% at 0.4.

A crowd costs a late dancer the silences, not the steps

A dancer who hears only the landmarks of an aksak rhythm — the heads of bars and long beats — recognises it from a late entry better than one who hears every onset, as long as everything played is heard. Let a share of what is played be lost in a crowd and the lead goes, but not for the reason expected. Most of the cost arrives before a single landmark is missed: a listener who allows that one might be can no longer treat a silence as proof, and the landmark stream is built almost entirely of silences. At one lost onset in ten, the caution alone takes 25 points from the landmarks and 5 from the full stream.

rhythm · Additive metre
A melody finds the barline the harmony cannot, and only by preferring the downbeat for its long notes. At two chords a bar over a walking bass, eight bars, how often the length of the melody's notes breaks the metre's tie and places the barline, against the share of long notes that fall on the downbeat rather than the half-bar, for melodies with a long note in a quarter, a half and all of their bars. 25% of bars long: 46% at 50%, 53% at 60%, 61% at 70%, 71% at 80%, 78% at 90%, 85% at 100%; 50% of bars long: 48% at 50%, 61% at 60%, 76% at 70%, 91% at 80%, 95% at 90%, 97% at 100%; 100% of bars long: 47% at 50%, 74% at 60%, 85% at 70%, 97% at 80%, 100% at 90%, 100% at 100%. The bass's readings, whether it moves and whether it sounds the root, average 50% over the same passages. At even odds the melody is no better than the metre alone, whatever the number of long notes.

A melody marks the barline by where it lingers

At two chords a bar over a walking bass, every harmonic witness stands at the metre's coin toss about where the bar begins. Give the passage a melody with a habit — long notes that prefer the downbeat — and the barline comes back: with a long note in half the bars and four in five of them on the downbeat, in 91 per cent of passages. The count of long notes barely matters; the preference is everything, and at even odds no number of long notes helps. A phrase end held through its bar is the strongest single cue. And a listener who adds the bass's readings to the melody's does worse than one who ignores the bass.

harmony · Progression
A syncopated melody is heard against the bar only if its phrases land on it. At one chord a bar over a walking bass, a melody whose long notes all fall on the half-bar, with a long note in half its bars and in all of them: how often the melody and bass together place the barline (solid) and the melody alone (dashed), against the share of two-bar phrase ends held through their last bar from its downbeat. a long note in 50% of bars: 0% held, together 21%, melody 0%; 10% held, together 36%, melody 20%; 25% held, together 67%, melody 58%; 50% held, together 86%, melody 84%; 75% held, together 97%, melody 97%; 100% held, together 100%, melody 100%. a long note in 100% of bars: 0% held, together 21%, melody 0%; 10% held, together 23%, melody 4%; 25% held, together 45%, melody 29%; 50% held, together 77%, melody 70%; 75% held, together 96%, melody 95%; 100% held, together 100%, melody 100%.

A syncopated melody needs its phrases to land

Put a melody whose long notes all fall on the half-bar over a harmony that changes once a bar and a walking bass, and a listener adding up the evidence hears the bar begin in the wrong place three times in four. The harmony knows where the bar is, but only through one witness: the bass's root votes for the barline in every passage, and the bass's motion never does — a walking bass lands on each new root by step, so it moves less at the barline than inside the bar. One syncopated voice ties the root, and the motion breaks the tie its way. What rescues the barline is not the harmony but the melody's own phrase ends: hold half of them from the downbeat and the reading finds the bar in 86 per cent of passages.

harmony · Progression
With a drum in the introduction, 2 bars of ground are enough — for a listener who remembers. At one chord a bar over a walking bass, a melody whose long notes all fall on the half-bar (50 per cent of its bars hold one), preceded by a stated number of bars of the harmony and bass alone with a drum on every downbeat of the introduction: the share of the melody's eight bars that a listener reading bar by bar hears against the written barline, for five listeners who differ in how much confidence they can bank. no memory: 0 bars 47%, 1 bars 46%, 2 bars 46%, 3 bars 46%, 4 bars 45%, 6 bars 46%, 8 bars 45%, 12 bars 45%, 16 bars 46%. banks 2 votes: 0 bars 45%, 1 bars 57%, 2 bars 58%, 3 bars 57%, 4 bars 56%, 6 bars 56%, 8 bars 55%, 12 bars 56%, 16 bars 58%. banks 4 votes: 0 bars 44%, 1 bars 68%, 2 bars 79%, 3 bars 79%, 4 bars 76%, 6 bars 77%, 8 bars 77%, 12 bars 76%, 16 bars 79%. banks 8 votes: 0 bars 44%, 1 bars 71%, 2 bars 90%, 3 bars 95%, 4 bars 95%, 6 bars 95%, 8 bars 96%, 12 bars 95%, 16 bars 97%. never forgets: 0 bars 44%, 1 bars 71%, 2 bars 90%, 3 bars 96%, 4 bars 99%, 6 bars 100%, 8 bars 100%, 12 bars 100%, 16 bars 100%. A listener with no memory stays near 47 per cent however much ground is heard; one who never forgets goes from 44 with none to 90 after two bars and 100 after twelve.

Two bars of drum hold the barline; a dozen bars of bass do not

A listener who settles where the bar begins and then holds it hears a syncopated tune against the bar only if the ground before it built enough confidence to spend. Read bar by bar, a walking bass under one chord a bar is worth less than half a vote a bar for the barline, and a syncopated bar takes an eighth of a vote back, so a tune needs about twelve bars of that ground to be heard against the bar nine times in ten. A drum on the downbeat makes each bar of ground worth a vote and a half, and two bars are then enough — but only for a listener who can bank more than four votes of confidence.

harmony · Progression
At the same share of time lost, a crowd that hides stretches costs less than one that hides onsets. The share of metres recognised within the 16-step present from a random entry, 10 metres known, with a stated share of the time lost to noise, against the mean length of each stretch lost, in steps — "one by one" is every step lost independently, as in the essay on lost onsets. The listener asks for odds of 19 to one and allows for losses at the true rate. The dashed lines are the same listeners with nothing lost. landmarks, downbeat marked, 10 per cent lost: one by one 46%, 2 46%, 4 46%, 8 47%, 16 48%, 32 49%, 64 50%; nothing lost 56%. landmarks, downbeat marked, 25 per cent lost: one by one 27%, 2 27%, 4 28%, 8 30%, 16 32%, 32 34%, 64 35%; nothing lost 48%. every onset, downbeat accented, 10 per cent lost: one by one 61%, 2 60%, 4 61%, 8 62%, 16 64%, 32 65%, 64 66%; nothing lost 74%. every onset, downbeat accented, 25 per cent lost: one by one 40%, 2 39%, 4 41%, 8 44%, 16 48%, 32 51%, 64 53%; nothing lost 74%.

A crowd that hides bars is kinder than one that hides onsets

A dancer joining an additive-metre dance in a noisy room loses some of what is played, and the essay before this one lost it one onset at a time. A crowd does not. It hides stretches — a burst of laughter covers a bar. The prediction was that a stretch as long as a bar would hurt the stream of landmarks most, since it could remove every landmark in a cycle, and that long bars would survive best. Holding the share of time lost fixed, longer stretches help every stream, help the full stream more than the landmarks, and leave long bars as hard to place as ever.

rhythm · Additive metre
A listener who weights its witnesses by their record needs 8 bars of walking bass, not 12. A syncopated melody over one chord a bar and a walking bass, preceded by a stated number of bars of the harmony and bass alone: the share of the melody's eight bars heard against the written barline by a listener who never forgets, counting every witness's vote alike, and by one who weights each witness by how often it has agreed with the reading it held. Solid: a long note in half the melody's bars; dashed: in every bar. Half the bars, votes alike: 0 bars 40%, 1 bar 49%, 2 bars 57%, 3 bars 63%, 4 bars 71%, 6 bars 77%, 8 bars 83%, 12 bars 93%, 16 bars 97%. Weighted: 0 39%, 1 59%, 2 71%, 3 76%, 4 83%, 6 88%, 8 92%, 12 95%, 16 94%. Every bar, votes alike: 0 6%, 1 13%, 2 19%, 3 27%, 4 34%, 6 48%, 8 56%, 12 72%, 16 85%. Weighted: 0 6%, 1 38%, 2 54%, 3 66%, 4 74%, 6 85%, 8 90%, 12 93%, 16 98%. Nine bars in ten are reached after 12 bars of ground counting alike and 8 weighting; for the tune that syncopates every bar, after more than sixteen and 8. Reading a reliably wrong witness backwards instead of ignoring it changes no value by more than two points.

A listener who weights its witnesses needs eight bars of bass, not twelve

A syncopated tune over a walking bass needed about twelve bars of ground before a listener with a memory heard it against the bar nine times in ten, with every witness given one vote a bar. Let the listener weight each witness by how often it has agreed with the reading it holds and the root earns a second vote, the bass's motion loses half of one, and the syncopation loses almost all of its. Eight bars are then enough, a tune that syncopates every bar becomes hearable against the bar at all, and reading the syncopation backwards buys nothing that ignoring it does not.

harmony · Progression
A listener who arrives knowing the style needs no introduction. A syncopated melody over one chord a bar and a walking bass, after a stated number of bars of the harmony and bass alone: the share of the melody's eight bars heard against the barline by a listener who never forgets and counts every vote alike, by one who learns each witness's reliability from nothing, and by one who arrives already crediting the bass's motion and the melody's long notes at a coin toss — the habits of a style in which the bass walks and the tune syncopates — and learns from there. every vote alike: 0 bars 40%, 1 bar 49%, 2 bars 57%, 3 bars 63%, 4 bars 71%, 6 bars 77%, 8 bars 83%, 12 bars 93%, 16 bars 97%. learning from no habits: 0 bars 39%, 1 bar 59%, 2 bars 71%, 3 bars 76%, 4 bars 83%, 6 bars 88%, 8 bars 92%, 12 bars 95%, 16 bars 94%. arriving with the style's habits: 0 bars 93%, 1 bar 97%, 2 bars 99%, 3 bars 99%, 4 bars 100%, 6 bars 100%, 8 bars 100%, 12 bars 100%, 16 bars 100%.

A listener who knows the style needs no introduction

A listener who weights each witness to the barline by its record needed eight bars of walking bass before a syncopated tune was heard against the bar nine times in ten, and with no introduction at all it learned the syncopation's lesson instead. Finer records — one for each side a witness takes, one for each section — change nothing. What changes everything is arriving with the style's habits: a listener who already gives the bass's motion and the melody's long notes no vote hears the tune against the bar 93 per cent of the time from its first bar, and 94 per cent for a tune that syncopates every bar. The root need not be trusted more. The others need to be trusted less.

harmony · Progression
A dancer who hears the crowd as noise buys back most of what caution cost. The landmark stream, downbeats marked, 10 metres known, 25 per cent of the time lost to noise in stretches of the stated mean length: the share of metres recognised within the 16-step present by a listener who cannot tell noise from silence and so allows for losses everywhere, and by one who hears the noise and counts a silence only where the room was quiet. Not hearing it: one by one 27%, 2 27%, 4 28%, 8 30%, 16 32%, 32 34%, 64 35%. Hearing the noise: one by one 51%, 2 50%, 4 50%, 8 52%, 16 54%, 32 57%, 64 59%. Nothing lost at all: 81%. Nothing lost but the same caution: 48%. A listener who loses a quarter of the music and knows where does better than one who loses nothing and must allow for losing it.

A dancer who hears the crowd can trust the quiet

A late dancer in a noisy room who cannot tell noise from silence has to treat every silence as weak evidence, and that caution was the largest cost in every figure before this one. A dancer who hears the laugh that covers a bar knows which silences to discount and can trust the rest. Losing a quarter of the music, that dancer recognises more metres than one who loses nothing but must allow for losses — and the landmarks, which a noisy room had made the worse stream to follow, lead again once the noise comes in bursts. The quiet has to be trusted to one onset in nineteen.

rhythm · Additive metre
In a loud room the accent is worth more, if it is loud enough to get through. Ten metres known, entered at a random step, recognised within the 16-step present by a listener who hears the room's noise: how much marking the downbeat adds to the share recognised from the landmarks, when the noise covers a tenth, a quarter or half of the time in stretches of sixteen steps, every marked downbeat is heard through it, and a stated share of the unmarked strokes are. 10% noise: 0% 23.3, 25% 24.0, 50% 24.4, 75% 24.7, 100% 23.4 points; noise masking everything 21.4. 25% noise: 0% 22.9, 25% 24.6, 50% 25.9, 75% 26.7, 100% 23.4 points; noise masking everything 18.1. 50% noise: 0% 19.8, 25% 23.8, 50% 27.0, 75% 28.9, 100% 23.4 points; noise masking everything 11.3. In a quiet room the accent is worth 23.4 points.

In a loud room the accent has to be loud

A late dancer who hears the crowd as noise ignores everything played under it. Real noise is not that thorough. It hides the soft strokes and lets the loud ones through, and an accented downbeat is a loud one. Let the noise pass loud strokes and some soft ones, and marking the downbeat is worth more to the dancer than in a quiet room: with half the time under noise, 29 points of recognition against 23. Noise that swallows the accent halves its worth. In a quiet room no amount of loudness bought an accent anything extra; in a loud one, loudness is the whole of what the accent is for.

rhythm · Additive metre
Talk buries a melody's accent ten decibels before it buries a low drum. A band at 70 decibels marking its downbeats four ways, each mark at the band's level, under a crowd whose talk has the long-term spectrum of speech, at a stated level above the band: the chance the marked downbeat is heard, band by band at its clearest, with the crowd's level fluctuating three decibels either way. a louder melody note: -10 dB 100%, -5 dB 100%, 0 dB 100%, +5 dB 94%, +10 dB 47%, +15 dB 4%, +20 dB 0%; a bass note an octave below: -10 dB 100%, -5 dB 100%, 0 dB 100%, +5 dB 100%, +10 dB 100%, +15 dB 90%, +20 dB 34%; a low drum: -10 dB 100%, -5 dB 100%, 0 dB 100%, +5 dB 100%, +10 dB 100%, +15 dB 100%, +20 dB 82%; a high bell: -10 dB 100%, -5 dB 100%, 0 dB 100%, +5 dB 100%, +10 dB 100%, +15 dB 93%, +20 dB 43%; the melody's unmarked strokes, eight decibels under the accent: 100%, 99%, 72%, 14%, 0%, 0%, 0%. Talk is loudest from 250 to 400 hertz, where a melody's fundamentals are; it is fifteen decibels quieter at 63 hertz and twelve quieter at 3 kilohertz.

In a crowd the downbeat belongs to the drum

In a loud room a marked downbeat is worth more to a late dancer than in a quiet one, so long as the mark gets through. Whether it does depends on where its sound lies, because talk is not loud everywhere: it is loudest from 250 to 400 hertz, exactly where a melody's notes are, and fifteen decibels quieter at the bottom of a drum. A louder melody note is heard half the time through talk ten decibels over the band; a low drum survives a crowd twelve decibels louder than that. With the talk fifteen decibels over the band, a downbeat marked in the melody is worth two-fifths less to the dancer than one marked by the drum.

rhythm · Additive metre
A drum that is always felt is worth no more than one that is always heard, until the crowd drowns the hearing. Ten metres known, entered at a random step, recognised within the 16-step present, the crowd covering half the time at a stated level above the band: the points marking the downbeat adds, for each way of marking it heard through the crowd, and for a low drum that is felt as well and so always arrives. a louder melody note: +0 28.9, +5 20.4, +10 14.7, +15 11.6, +20 11.3, +25 11.3, +30 11.3; a bass note an octave below: +0 28.9, +5 22.1, +10 19.8, +15 18.0, +20 13.7, +25 11.4, +30 11.3; a low drum: +0 28.9, +5 22.1, +10 19.8, +15 19.8, +20 17.3, +25 12.9, +30 11.4; a high bell: +0 28.9, +5 22.1, +10 19.8, +15 18.2, +20 14.3, +25 11.5, +30 11.3; a low drum, felt as well: +0 28.9, +5 22.1, +10 19.8, +15 19.8, +20 19.8, +25 19.8, +30 19.8. A quiet room's mark is worth 23.4.

A felt drum reaches only where the heard one already does

A low drum near a stage is felt in the body as well as heard, and talk cannot mask a vibration. Given that second channel, a drum-marked downbeat always arrives — and is then worth 19.8 points to a late dancer, exactly what an always-heard drum was worth, because the crowd has already taken the soft strokes that made a mark worth more. The felt channel pays only under crowds twenty decibels over the band. And it is driven by the drum's own level, which in a reverberant room is high enough to be felt only where the drum is already loud enough to be heard.

rhythm · Additive metre
Felt on every landmark, the stream recovers most of a quiet room's recognition even when no accent is felt. Ten dances known, entered at a random step, the crowd covering half the time at the level on the axis above the band: the share of entries in which the dance is recognised within the present, for four ways of carrying the landmarks — a drum on the downbeat and the melody's softer strokes between, heard; the same with the downbeat felt as well; a kick drum on every landmark eight decibels softer than the downbeat, heard; and the same felt, with a felt accent recognised 0 per cent of the time. A quiet room gives 80.9. drum downbeat, melody between: 0 dB 58.4, 5 dB 41.0, 10 dB 37.4, 15 dB 37.3, 20 dB 34.9, 25 dB 30.4, 30 dB 28.9; the downbeat felt: 0 dB 58.4, 5 dB 41.0, 10 dB 37.4, 15 dB 37.3, 20 dB 37.3, 25 dB 37.3, 30 dB 37.3; a kick on every landmark, heard: 0 dB 80.9, 5 dB 80.9, 10 dB 68.1, 15 dB 50.2, 20 dB 35.7, 25 dB 30.4, 30 dB 28.9; a kick on every landmark, felt: 0 dB 80.9, 5 dB 80.9, 10 dB 80.9, 15 dB 80.9, 20 dB 75.8, 25 dB 71.6, 30 dB 70.1.

The felt channel carries the inner beats, not the downbeat

A low drum felt in the body gets the downbeat through any crowd, and is then worth less than it was in a quiet room, because the crowd has taken the soft strokes between. Put a kick drum on every landmark of the dance and let all of it be felt, and in a crowd thirty decibels over the band a late dancer recognises the dance in seventy per cent of entries against thirty-seven for the felt downbeat — with no felt accent at all. The accent, felt or not, is worth about ten points on top. The worry that a stream felt alike has no downbeat turns out to be the small half of the arithmetic.

rhythm · Additive metre

Named alongside it

The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.

DownbeatMetreHarmonic rhythmInferenceAdditive metreAksakPerceptual presentChord segmentationKey-findingMelodyModulationSegmentation

All concepts